May 23, 2026
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Read Article Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC predictions for MLS Saturday.
Chicago will face Toronto in MLS action at Soldier Field on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Chicago as the most likely winner of the Chicago vs. Toronto game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Chicago and Toronto, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 64.9% chance of Chicago winning, a 16.1% chance for Toronto, and a 19.0% chance of a draw.
Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Chicago | Toronto | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -235 | +600 | +400 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto | +600 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toronto to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Chicago win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHI 2-1 TFC | 9.8% |
| CHI 2-0 TFC | 9.4% |
| CHI 1-1 TFC | 8.6% |
Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Chicago and Toronto in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
World Cup 2026 watch: Brian Gutiérrez (USA)
Chicago attacking midfielder Brian Gutiérrez is firmly on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation ramps up as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event sparking heavy demand for World Cup predictions and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Gutiérrez' form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chicago has a 64.9% win probability on Saturday, Toronto has a 16.1% win probability, and there is a 19.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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