May 25, 2026
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Read Article Reds vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Monday.
The New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 4:10 PM ET.
The Mets will have Nolan McLean (2-3, 3.57 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Reds have opted for Nick Lodolo (0-1, 7.20 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Reds vs. Mets game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Reds vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Reds and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 56% chance of defeating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Reds vs. Mets odds [5/25/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-187) | -1.5 (+158) |
| Moneyline | +118 | -136 |
| Total | o7.5 (-108) | u7.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Reds vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +158 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -136 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Reds vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Reds at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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