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Read Article Reds vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Monday.
MLB action continues on Monday at 4:10 PM ET as the Cincinnati Reds square off with the New York Mets at Citi Field.
Nolan McLean (2-3, 3.57 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, while the Reds are going with Nick Lodolo (0-1, 7.20 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Reds vs. Mets game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Reds vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Reds and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 57% chance of beating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Reds vs. Mets odds [5/25/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-180) | -1.5 (+152) |
| Moneyline | +124 | -143 |
| Total | o7.5 (-102) | u7.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Reds vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +152 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -143 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Reds vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Reds at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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