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Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [4/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Monday.
The Memphis Grizzlies will face the favored Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action at FedExForum on Monday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like GG Jackson, Cedric Coward and Olivier-Maxence Prosper, while the Cavaliers will look to Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen and Sam Merrill.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Cavaliers and Grizzlies, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Cavaliers an 84% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 120-109.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -13.5 (-108) | +13.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -950 | +675 |
| Total | o231.5 (-108) | u231.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +13.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +675 |
| Total | Under 231.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Monday's Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Evan Mobley is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 20 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 16 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| Jarrett Allen | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Sam Merrill | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
| Dennis Schroder | 14 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 32 |
| Keon Ellis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Cedric Coward | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| O. Prosper | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| Cam Spencer | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
Cavs vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Grizzlies and Cavaliers at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Monday, April 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday, with Evan Mobley projected for a game-high 43 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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