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Cavaliers vs. Raptors prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Game 6 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Playoffs Friday.

NBA Playoffs action continues on Friday at 7:30 PM ET as the Cleveland Cavaliers lock horns with the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Scotiabank Arena.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 6 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram, while the Cavaliers will rely on Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win Game 6?
Our famous predictive model gives the Cavaliers a 65% chance of defeating the Raptors in Game 6 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 111-107.
According to our model, the Cavaliers (-3.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 219.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 6 odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-115) | +3.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | -170 | +148 |
| Total | o219.5 (-105) | u219.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors picks and best bet for Game 6
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors +3.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Cavaliers | -170 |
| Total | Over 219.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Cavaliers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 6 player props
Looking for Cavaliers vs. Raptors NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while RJ Barrett is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 47 |
| James Harden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 46 |
| Evan Mobley | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
| Jarrett Allen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Max Strus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| Scottie Barnes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 50 |
| Brandon Ingram | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 36 |
| C. Murray-Boyles | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 30 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
Cavs vs. Raptors Game 6 updates and essential details
Friday's Game 6 between the Raptors and Cavaliers in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Cavaliers and Raptors, reached the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors in Friday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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