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Cavaliers vs. Raptors prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Game 4 [2026 NBA Playoffs]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Playoffs Sunday.

Cleveland Cavaliers-Toronto Raptors Predictions and Game Preview.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors NBA prediction for Game 4 of the series.

The Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers will lock horns in Game 4 of their NBA Playoffs series at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 4 matchup.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes, while the Cavaliers will be led by Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Cavs vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win Game 4?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs game between the Cavaliers and Raptors, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers a 66% chance of beating the Raptors in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 111-107.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cavaliers and Raptors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 219.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 4 odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cavaliers Raptors
Spread -4.5 (-105) +4.5 (-110)
Moneyline -180 +158
Total o219.5 (-105) u219.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cavaliers vs. Raptors picks and best bet for Game 4

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Cavaliers -4.5 -105
Moneyline Cavaliers -180
Total Over 219.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Cavaliers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 4 player props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Cavaliers vs. Raptors matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.

Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.

Donovan Mitchell 2026.
Donovan Mitchell is projected to score 27 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Cavaliers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
D. Mitchell 27 4 5 3 46
James Harden 21 4 7 3 43
Evan Mobley 17 9 3 1 40
Jarrett Allen 13 8 2 0 30
Max Strus 11 4 3 2 23

Raptors prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Brandon Ingram 22 5 4 2 39
RJ Barrett 22 6 4 2 40
Scottie Barnes 21 7 8 1 49
C. Murray-Boyles 11 6 3 0 29
Ja'Kobe Walter 9 3 2 2 19

Cavs vs. Raptors Game 4 updates and essential details

Sunday's Game 4 between the Raptors and Cavaliers in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Cavaliers and Raptors, made the NBA Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

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Make the most of Dimers' Cavaliers vs. Raptors predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.


Conclusion

We predict the Cavaliers, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors in Sunday's NBA playoffs matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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