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Cavaliers vs. Raptors prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Game 4 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Playoffs Sunday.

The Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers will lock horns in Game 4 of their NBA Playoffs series at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 4 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes, while the Cavaliers will be led by Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs game between the Cavaliers and Raptors, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers a 66% chance of beating the Raptors in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 111-107.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cavaliers and Raptors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 219.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 4 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-105) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +158 |
| Total | o219.5 (-105) | u219.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cavaliers -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Cavaliers | -180 |
| Total | Over 219.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Cavaliers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Game 4 player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Cavaliers vs. Raptors matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 46 |
| James Harden | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 43 |
| Evan Mobley | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 40 |
| Jarrett Allen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Max Strus | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 22 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| RJ Barrett | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 40 |
| Scottie Barnes | 21 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 49 |
| C. Murray-Boyles | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
Cavs vs. Raptors Game 4 updates and essential details
Sunday's Game 4 between the Raptors and Cavaliers in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Cavaliers and Raptors, made the NBA Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors in Sunday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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