Portugal vs. Congo DR prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get Portugal vs Congo DR predictions for World Cup 2026 Wednesday.

Portugal will square off with Congo DR in Group K of the World Cup 2026 at NRG Stadium on Wednesday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Portugal as the most likely winner of the Portugal vs. Congo DR game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Portugal vs. Congo DR prediction: Who will win?
Our famous predictive model suggests a 74.8% chance of Portugal winning, a 7.8% chance for Congo DR, and a 17.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 50.8% chance of staying under, with a 64.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Portugal holds a 52.3% probability to win without conceding, with Congo DR given a 4.9% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Portugal to win or draw at 92.2%.
Congo DR vs. Portugal odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Portugal | Congo DR | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -370 | +1100 | +475 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | +106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Portugal vs. Congo DR picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Congo DR @ +475 via BetMGM
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +106 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Congo DR @ +1250 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Congo DR or Draw @ +270 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -164 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Portugal vs. Congo DR: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Portugal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Portugal 2-0 Congo DR | 16% |
| Portugal 1-0 Congo DR | 15.1% |
| Portugal 3-0 Congo DR | 11.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 35.7% chance of both Portugal and Congo DR finding the net and a 64.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Portugal vs. Congo DR player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Portugal-Congo DR:
Portugal
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 45.0% probability
- Bruno Fernandes: 26.6% probability
- Pedro Neto: 21.6% probability
- Bernardo Silva: 19.2% probability
- Joao Neves: 14.8% probability
Congo DR
- Yoane Wissa: 13.7% probability
- Cedric Bakambu: 12.7% probability
- Samuel Moutoussamy: 3.7% probability
- Noah Sadiki: 3.2% probability
- Chancel Mbemba: 2.9% probability
Portugal vs. Congo DR game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's soccer World Cup action between Portugal and Congo DR at NRG Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portugal vs. Congo DR
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Portugal has a 74.8% win probability on Wednesday, Congo DR has a 7.8% win probability, and there is a 17.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



