England vs. Croatia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's World Cup 2026 game between England and Croatia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 57.9% chance of England winning, an 18.0% chance for Croatia, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.4% chance of staying under, with a 54.5% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, England holds a 35.9% probability to win without conceding, with Croatia at 10.4%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is England to win or draw at 82.0%.

Croatia vs. England odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

England	Croatia	Draw
-145	+425	+275

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+115	-135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

England vs. Croatia picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Croatia @ +425 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +115 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: England @ +155 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: England or Croatia @ -360 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

England vs. Croatia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 England win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
England 1-0 Croatia	13.8%
England 2-0 Croatia	11.6%
England 1-1 Croatia	11.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 45.5% chance of both England and Croatia finding the net and a 54.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

England vs. Croatia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in England-Croatia:

England

• Harry Kane: 34.0% probability
• Anthony Gordon: 18.6% probability
• Noni Madueke: 16.2% probability
• Jude Bellingham: 15.4% probability
• Declan Rice: 9.5% probability

Croatia

• Ante Budimir: 13.6% probability
• Andrej Kramaric: 13.2% probability
• Ivan Perisic: 9.6% probability
• Marco Pasalic: 8.2% probability
• Luka Modric: 7.4% probability

England vs. Croatia game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's soccer World Cup matchup between England and Croatia at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: England vs. Croatia
• Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, England has a 57.9% win probability on Wednesday, Croatia has an 18.0% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.