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Mavericks vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Ball Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Mavericks will be led by Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and P.J. Washington.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Nuggets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets an 81% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 126-116.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 244.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +490 | -650 |
| Total | o244.5 (-115) | u244.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +490 |
| Total | Under 244.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Under 244.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Wednesday's Mavericks vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 29 points, 12 rebounds and 12 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 24 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 47 |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| P.J. Washington | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| B. Williams | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Klay Thompson | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 29 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 69 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 47 |
| Aaron Gordon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Cameron Johnson | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
Mavs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Nuggets and Mavericks at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 69 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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