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Mavericks vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [4/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Phoenix Suns will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks, while the Mavericks will be led by Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley and Max Christie.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Suns, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Suns an 81% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 120-110.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+12) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Suns odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12 (-110) | -12 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +480 | -650 |
| Total | o232.5 (-114) | u232.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +12 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +480 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +12 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Suns player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Wednesday's Dallas vs. Phoenix matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 26 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 48 |
| Marvin Bagley | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Max Christie | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Khris Middleton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Tyler Smith | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 26 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 46 |
| Jalen Green | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Dillon Brooks | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Grayson Allen | 15 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 29 |
| C. Gillespie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 28 |
Mavs vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Suns and Mavericks at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Wednesday, April 8, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday, with Cooper Flagg projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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