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Mavericks vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 25 points in Saturday's NBA game [2/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Saturday.
The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Saturday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Mavericks will be led by Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Max Christie.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Spurs an 80% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 120-110.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+11) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Spurs odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11 (-106) | -11 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +380 | -455 |
| Total | o233.5 (-112) | u233.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +11 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +380 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +11 at the spread.
Mavericks vs. Spurs player props
Looking for Dallas vs. San Antonio NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 25 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 23 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 45 |
| Naji Marshall | 16 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
| Max Christie | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| B. Williams | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 25 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 53 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 39 |
| Stephon Castle | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 36 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Devin Vassell | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Mavs vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Spurs and Mavericks at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Saturday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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