Wings vs. Dream prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Friday's WNBA game [5/22/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Dallas Wings vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Friday.

Dallas Wings-Atlanta Dream Predictions and Game Preview.
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream WNBA prediction for Friday, May 22, 2026.

WNBA action continues on Friday at 7:30 PM ET as the Dallas Wings take on the Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Dream game.

The Dream, led by Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.

Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 1 threes.

Paige Bueckers 2026.
Wings star Paige Bueckers is projected to score 17 points against the Dream.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Dream a 70% chance of beating the Wings.

According to our model, the Wings (+5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 173.5 points has a 59% chance of staying under.

 

Wings vs. Dream odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Wings Dream
Spread +5.5 (-105) -5.5 (-110)
Moneyline +190 -220
Total o173.5 (-105) u173.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wings vs. Dream picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Wings +5.5 -105
Moneyline Dream -220
Total Under 173.5 -108

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Wings vs. Dream player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Wings vs. Dream game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Dream.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Paige Bueckers 17 3 5 1 33
A. Ogunbowale 15 2 4 2 28
Jessica Shepard 11 9 4 0 31
Azzi Fudd 10 2 2 1 19
Odyssey Sims 7 1 3 0 15

Dream prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Allisha Gray 20 6 4 3 39
Rhyne Howard 18 4 4 3 38
Angel Reese 15 13 3 0 42
Jordin Canada 12 4 7 1 33
Naz Hillmon 12 8 3 2 30

Wings vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Dream and Wings at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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