May 22, 2026
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Read Article Sun vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Friday's WNBA game [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Seattle Storm and Connecticut Sun are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Friday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Storm game.
The Storm, who have stars like Natisha Hiedeman, Flau'jae Johnson and Jade Melbourne, will face off against the Sun, whose lineup includes Brittney Griner, Aneesah Morrow and Kennedy Burke.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Sun and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Storm a 57% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Storm (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Sun vs. Storm odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -122 |
| Total | o165.5 (-105) | u165.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Storm | -122 |
| Total | Under 165.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 165.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Storm player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Connecticut vs. Seattle matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Sun with 12 points, 5 rebounds and 1 assists, while Natisha Hiedeman is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Storm.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
| Kennedy Burke | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
| Hailey Van Lith | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| Saniya Rivers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 30 |
| F. Johnson | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Jade Melbourne | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| Zia Cooke | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Stefanie Dolson | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
Sun vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Storm and Sun at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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