Wings vs. Aces prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 21 points in Thursday's WNBA game [6/25/2026]
Get Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Las Vegas Aces will face the Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Aces game.
The Aces, led by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, will face off against the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Azzi Fudd and Jessica Shepard.
Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to shine with a projected 21 points and 1 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Aces a 65.5% chance of beating the Wings.
According to our model, the Wings (+5.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 64.1% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Aces odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -225 |
| Total | o178.5 (-110) | u178.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wings +5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Wings | +190 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Aces player props
Betting on Wings vs. Aces WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 30 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Azzi Fudd | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| Jessica Shepard | 15 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Awak Kuier | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 30 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 56 |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 40 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Jewell Loyd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
Wings vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Aces and Wings at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 65.5% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
