Liberty vs. Storm prediction: New York favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [6/25/2026]
Get New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET as the New York Liberty lock horns with the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Storm game.
The Storm, who have stars such as Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson, are set to take on the Liberty, who feature Jonquel Jones, Sabrina Ionescu and Pauline Astier.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 72.8% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+8.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 55.7% chance of staying under,.
Liberty vs. Storm odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-106) | +8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -350 | +285 |
| Total | o168.5 (-108) | u168.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +8.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Storm | +285 |
| Total | Under 168.5 | -112 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Storm player props
Betting on Liberty vs. Storm WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Jonquel Jones is expected to lead the Liberty with 16 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Natisha Hiedeman is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Storm.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dominique Malonga striking first with a 15.4% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonquel Jones | 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 40 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Pauline Astier | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Han Xu | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 17 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| D. Malonga | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| F. Johnson | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Awa Fam | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Zia Cooke | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
Liberty vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Storm and Liberty at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 72.8% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
