Lynx vs. Mystics prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/24/2026]
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Washington Mystics predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
WNBA action continues on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET as the favored Minnesota Lynx lock horns with the Washington Mystics at CareFirst Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Mystics game.
The Mystics, led by Sonia Citron, Shakira Austin and Kiki Iriafen, are set to take on the Lynx, who feature Natasha Howard, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Lynx a 77.6% chance of beating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Mystics (+8.5) have a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 57.2% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Mystics odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Mystics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-112) | +8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -420 | +330 |
| Total | o169.5 (-106) | u169.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Mystics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mystics +8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mystics | +330 |
| Total | Under 169.5 | -105 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 169.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Mystics player props
WNBA player props are a great way to wager on the Minnesota vs. Washington game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.
Natasha Howard is expected to lead the Lynx with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Sonia Citron is projected to have 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kiki Iriafen as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| C. Williams | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 36 |
| Olivia Miles | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| Kayla McBride | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Nia Coffey | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
Mystics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Shakira Austin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Cotie McMahon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Lauren Betts | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
Lynx vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Mystics and Lynx at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics
- Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: CareFirst Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 77.6% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
