Sparks vs. Tempo prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [6/25/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Toronto Tempo will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Coca-Cola Coliseum on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Tempo as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Tempo game.
The Tempo, with star players like Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Laura Juskaite, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Ariel Atkins.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Tempo a 60.6% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Tempo (-1.5) have a 55.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 180.5-point over/under has a 75.3% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Tempo odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -114 |
| Total | o180.5 (-105) | u180.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Tempo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo -1.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Tempo | -114 |
| Total | Under 180.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Tempo player props
Looking for Sparks vs. Tempo WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Coca-Cola Coliseum.
Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 19 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Tempo.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Marina Mabrey striking first with a 15.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 36 |
| Dearica Hamby | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Ariel Atkins | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
| Rae Burrell | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Erica Wheeler | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
Tempo prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 36 |
| I. Harrison | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| Laura Juskaite | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Maria Conde | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Nyara Sabally | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
Sparks vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Tempo and Sparks at Coca-Cola Coliseum is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict the Tempo, with a 60.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
