Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [4/25/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets will meet in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Target Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature players like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Nuggets will rely on Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Nuggets vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Nuggets and Timberwolves, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Nuggets a 56% chance of defeating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 114-113.

According to our model, the Nuggets (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nuggets	Timberwolves
Spread	-1.5 (-105)	+1.5 (-106)
Moneyline	-118	+110
Total	o228.5 (-110)	u228.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nuggets -1.5	-105
Moneyline	Nuggets	-118
Total	Under 228.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props

Looking for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 30 points, 14 rebounds and 12 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Nuggets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	30	14	12	2	74
Jamal Murray	28	5	7	3	51
Aaron Gordon	14	5	3	1	28
Christian Braun	12	5	3	1	26
Tim Hardaway	11	2	2	2	19

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	28	6	4	3	50
Julius Randle	20	6	5	1	39
Jaden McDaniels	17	5	3	1	33
Ayo Dosunmu	14	4	4	2	28
D. DiVincenzo	11	4	4	3	28

Nuggets vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Timberwolves and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Target Center
• NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Nuggets and Timberwolves, made the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

NBA postseason promo code for Novig

Make the most of Dimers' Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Saturday's NBA playoffs matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.