Elche vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/9/2026]

Elche and Alaves will lock horns in La Liga on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:00 AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Elche as the most likely winner of the Elche vs. Alaves game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Elche vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Elche and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 43.9% chance of Elche winning, a 30.5% chance for Alaves, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Elche vs. Alaves odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Elche	Alaves	Draw
+125	+235	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-107	-116

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Elche vs. Alaves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Alaves	+235
Total Goals	Over 2.5	-107

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Elche vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Elche 1-1 ALV	12.1%
Elche 1-0 ALV	10.1%
Elche 2-1 ALV	9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Elche vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's La Liga action between Elche and Alaves is scheduled to begin in the USA at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Elche vs. Alaves
• Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Elche has a 43.9% win probability on Saturday, Alaves has a 30.5% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.