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Hawthorn Hawks vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Hawks favored to win Friday's AFL Round 7 matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Friday.
The Hawthorn Hawks and Gold Coast Suns will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Hawks game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Suns and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 63% chance of beating the Suns.
According to our model, the Hawks (-6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Gold Coast vs. Hawthorn odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +120 | -154 |
| Line (Spread) | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-115) |
| Total | o181.5 (-115) | u181.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks -6.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -154 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Hawks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Hawks and Suns at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Suns in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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