Jun 11, 2026
Geelong Cats vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Cats favored to win Friday's AFL Round 14 matchup [6/12/2026]
Read Article Melbourne Demons vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 14 matchup [6/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Melbourne Demons vs Essendon Bombers predictions for AFL Friday.
The Melbourne Demons will take on the Essendon Bombers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Demons as the most likely winner of the Bombers vs. Demons game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Demons vs. Bombers prediction: Who will win Round 14 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Bombers and Demons, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Demons an 81.2% chance of beating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+28.5) have a 52.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 50.2% chance of staying under,.
Essendon vs. Melbourne odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Demons |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +390 | -588 |
| Line (Spread) | +28.5 (-115) | -28.5 (-115) |
| Total | o157.5 (-105) | u157.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bombers vs. Demons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bombers +28.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Bombers | +390 |
| Total | Under 157.5 | -120 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bombers +28.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Demons vs. Bombers game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Demons and Bombers at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. Melbourne Demons
- Date: Friday, June 12, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Demons, with an 81.2% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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