Jun 11, 2026
Melbourne Demons vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 14 matchup [6/12/2026]
Read Article Richmond Tigers vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Why Lions are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 14 matchup [6/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Richmond Tigers vs Brisbane Lions predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Richmond Tigers and Brisbane Lions will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Blundstone on Saturday, starting at 11:10 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Lions as the most likely winner of the Lions vs. Tigers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Lions prediction: Who will win Round 14 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL game between the Lions and Tigers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lions a 91.6% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+49.5) have a 53.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 50.2% chance of staying under,.
Brisbane vs. Richmond odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -1667 | +800 |
| Line (Spread) | -49.5 (-115) | +49.5 (-115) |
| Total | o182.5 (-115) | u182.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +49.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +800 |
| Total | Under 182.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +49.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Tigers and Lions at Blundstone is scheduled to begin at 11:10 PM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Richmond Tigers
- Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
- Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
- Venue: Blundstone
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 91.6% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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