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Warriors vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [2/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Phoenix Suns will square off with the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen and Collin Gillespie, while the Warriors will rely on Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton and Moses Moody.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Warriors and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Suns a 69% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 110-104.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Warriors and Suns each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 212.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Warriors vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +188 | -218 |
| Total | o212.5 (-112) | u212.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors +5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -218 |
| Total | Over 212.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.
Warriors vs. Suns player props
Looking for Warriors vs. Suns NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Brandin Podziemski is expected to lead the Warriors with 14 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Dillon Brooks is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Podziemski | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| D. Melton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Pat Spencer | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| Gui Santos | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks | 22 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Grayson Allen | 19 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 37 |
| C. Gillespie | 16 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 35 |
| Mark Williams | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Royce O'Neale | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
Warriors vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Suns and Warriors at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Thursday, with Grayson Allen projected for a game-high 37 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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