Home Run Parlay Picks on Dinger Tuesday: Two hitters to bet on at +1581 odds today [June 30, 2026]

1. Pete Alonso (BAL) to hit a home run (+310)

Game: Orioles vs. White Sox

Time: 6:35 PM ET

There are a lot of reasons to like Pete Alonso for a home run tonight, most notably for us, our third-highest HR probability from the Dimers model on the slate at 22.3%.

That's just behind MLB HR leader Kyle Schwarber at 22.8%, and he's sitting at wildly short +180.

Beyond our home run prediction for Alonso, our pitching projections show opposing White Sox starter Erick Fedde at 3.00 earned runs, the third-highest mark on the slate.

Alonso is having a good month, following up his 7 HR and .849 OPS May with 8 HR and a .950 OPS in June, doing most of his damage off righthanded pitchers like Fedde, who's given up 11 HR to righthanded hitters in 35.0 IP. Though he's having a solid stretch of three appearances without having allowed a HR.

Camden Yards remains one of the most favorable parks for home runs in baseball, so let's back the Polar Bear for a bomb tonight.

2. Max Muncy (LAD) to hit a home run (+310)

Game: Dodgers vs. Athletics

Time: 9:40 PM ET

Moving to the late-night window, we'll look at a game that could see quite a number of home runs.

With two players tied for the 10th spot at 18.8%, six of our Top 10 most likely home run hitters of the night are in this game. We'll be looking at one of those tied for the 10th spot, Max Muncy of the Dodgers.

Muncy has hit 17 HR this year (3 in June), en route to hit his best mark since his 36-HR season in 2023, due in large part to staying healthy.

He'll face LHP Jeffrey Springs tonight, who projects for more ER than any player on the slate at 3.39. Springs has given up at least 1 HR in eight consecutive starts and 12 of his last 13, and given up 2+ HR in 5 of his last 7.

Muncy has made light work of lefties this year with 5 HR in 61 AB against the side, with another great chance to add that tally tonight.

MLB home run parlay at +1581 odds

For a bigger payout at a higher risk, you can bet these home run props as a parlay at total odds of +1581 on FanDuel Sportsbook, returning $158 off a $10 bet, where you can utilize either their Bet Reset or 50% Profit Boost Dinger Tuesday promo for even better odds.

Responsible gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-MY-RESET for crisis counseling and support.