Rockets vs. Nuggets prediction: Houston favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/15/2025]

NBA action continues on Monday at 9:30PM ET as the Houston Rockets lock horns with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Rockets will be led by Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Rockets vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Rockets and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Rockets a 55% chance of beating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 118-117.

According to our model, the Rockets (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Rockets vs. Nuggets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Rockets	Nuggets
Spread	-1.5 (-102)	+1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-115	-102
Total	o236.5 (-112)	u236.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rockets vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Rockets -1.5	-102
Moneyline	Rockets	-115
Total	Under 236.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Rockets to win.

Rockets vs. Nuggets player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Rockets vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 25 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Rockets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kevin Durant	25	4	4	2	42
Alperen Sengun	21	9	6	1	46
Amen Thompson	17	7	6	1	40
Jabari Smith	15	7	2	2	32
Reed Sheppard	11	3	3	2	24

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	27	10	10	2	61
Jamal Murray	24	4	6	3	43
Cameron Johnson	16	4	3	2	31
Peyton Watson	12	5	1	1	27
Tim Hardaway	11	3	1	2	19

Rockets vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Nuggets and Rockets at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
• Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Rockets, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 61 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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