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Rockets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [3/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 8:00 PM ET as the Houston Rockets take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like GG Jackson, Javon Small and Cedric Coward, while the Rockets will look to Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Rockets and Grizzlies, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Rockets an 84% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 119-107.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Rockets vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -13.5 (-115) | +13.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -900 | +730 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +13.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +730 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockets vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's Rockets vs. Grizzlies matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 28 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 28 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 50 |
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 50 |
| Amen Thompson | 20 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 45 |
| Jabari Smith | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
| Reed Sheppard | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 34 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| Javon Small | 14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 31 |
| Cedric Coward | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| O. Prosper | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| Cam Spencer | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
Rockets vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Grizzlies and Rockets at FedExForum is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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