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Rockets vs. Kings prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for 27 points in Sunday's NBA game [1/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Sacramento Kings will face the favored Houston Rockets in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Sunday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook, while the Rockets will be led by Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rockets an 85% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 117-104.
According to our model, the Kings (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Rockets vs. Kings odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14.5 (-106) | +14.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -720 | +550 |
| Total | o223.5 (-110) | u223.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +14.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +550 |
| Total | Under 223.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +14.5 at the spread.
Rockets vs. Kings player props
Looking for Rockets vs. Kings NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Zach LaVine is projected to have 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 47 |
| Amen Thompson | 20 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 41 |
| Alperen Sengun | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Jabari Smith | 16 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 |
| Reed Sheppard | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 29 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| R. Westbrook | 15 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
| Malik Monk | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Rockets vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Kings and Rockets at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Sunday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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