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Pacers vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers will lock horns in NBA action at Rocket Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Cavaliers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature stars like Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Max Strus, while the Pacers will look to Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff and Obi Toppin.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pacers vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Pacers and Cavaliers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers an 88% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 126-112.
According to our model, the Pacers (+16.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 240.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 (-106) | -16.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +1000 | -1700 |
| Total | o240.5 (-105) | u240.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +16.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +1000 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +16.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Indiana vs. Cleveland game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Quenton Jackson is expected to lead the Pacers with 15 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Cavaliers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pacers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quenton Jackson | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 30 |
| Jay Huff | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Obi Toppin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Kobe Brown | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Micah Potter | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Cavaliers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 48 |
| James Harden | 22 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 47 |
| Max Strus | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| Dennis Schroder | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23 |
Pacers vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Cavaliers and Pacers at Rocket Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Sunday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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