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Pacers vs. Wizards prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Washington Wizards and Indiana Pacers are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Capital One Arena on Thursday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Pacers as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Wizards game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature players like Tristan Vukcevic, Kyshawn George and Tre Johnson, while the Pacers will rely on Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith and Jarace Walker.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pacers vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Pacers and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Pacers a 61% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Pacers winning 117-114.
According to our model, the Pacers (-2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pacers vs. Wizards odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Wizards |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -126 | +110 |
| Total | o232.5 (-110) | u232.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pacers vs. Wizards picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | -126 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pacers vs. Wizards player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Thursday's Indiana vs. Washington game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.
Andrew Nembhard is expected to lead the Pacers with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 8 assists, while Tristan Vukcevic is projected to have 17 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Wizards.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pacers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 17 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 38 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 34 |
| Jarace Walker | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Jay Huff | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 33 |
| T.J. McConnell | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
Wizards prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vukcevic | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Kyshawn George | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Tre Johnson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Will Riley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
Pacers vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Wizards and Pacers at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Pacers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Thursday, with Andrew Nembhard projected for a game-high 38 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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