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Lakers vs. Warriors prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 34 points in Saturday's NBA game [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Saturday.
NBA action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as the Los Angeles Lakers lock horns with the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski and Gui Santos, while the Lakers will look to Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves and LeBron James.
Doncic is expected to shine with a projected 34 points and 4 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Lakers and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lakers a 64% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 116-112.
According to our model, the Lakers (-4) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Lakers vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4 (-114) | +4 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -170 | +148 |
| Total | o229.5 (-110) | u229.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers -4 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | -170 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lakers vs. Warriors player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Lakers vs. Warriors game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 34 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists, while De'Anthony Melton is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 34 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 63 |
| Austin Reaves | 22 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| LeBron James | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 43 |
| Deandre Ayton | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Marcus Smart | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Melton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| B. Podziemski | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Gui Santos | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| K. Porzingis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Lakers vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Warriors and Lakers at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Saturday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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