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Lakers vs. Suns prediction: Phoenix to win, Luka Doncic projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [12/14/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Sunday.

Los Angeles Lakers-Phoenix Suns Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns NBA prediction for Sunday, December 14, 2025.

The Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Lakers are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Suns game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen, while the Lakers will rely on Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton.

Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 33 points and 4 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Lakers vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Lakers and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Suns a 56% chance of beating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 116-114.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Lakers and Suns each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Lakers vs. Suns odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lakers Suns
Spread +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-108)
Moneyline +100 -115
Total o231.5 (-115) u231.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lakers vs. Suns picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Suns -1.5 -108
Moneyline Suns -115
Total Under 231.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.

 

Lakers vs. Suns player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Lakers vs. Suns matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 33 points, 9 rebounds and 8 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 24 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists for the Suns.

Luka Doncic 2025.
Luka Doncic is projected to score 33 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Lakers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Luka Doncic 33 9 8 4 66
LeBron James 26 7 9 2 55
Deandre Ayton 16 9 2 0 35
Rui Hachimura 15 4 1 3 25
Marcus Smart 14 3 4 2 32

Suns prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Devin Booker 24 4 8 2 46
Dillon Brooks 17 4 2 3 30
Grayson Allen 14 4 4 3 31
C. Gillespie 12 4 5 3 30
Royce O'Neale 12 5 3 3 27

Lakers vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Suns and Lakers at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Suns, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers on Sunday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 66 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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