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Lakers vs. Kings prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 33 points in Monday's NBA game [1/12/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Monday.

Los Angeles Lakers-Sacramento Kings Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings NBA prediction for Monday, January 12, 2026.

NBA action continues on Monday at 10:00 PM ET as the favored Los Angeles Lakers lock horns with the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Kings game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Russell Westbrook, while the Lakers will look to Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton.

Doncic is expected to shine with a projected 33 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Lakers vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Lakers a 78% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 118-109.

According to our model, the Kings (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 231.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

Lakers vs. Kings odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lakers Kings
Spread -8.5 (-118) +8.5 (-102)
Moneyline -350 +310
Total o231.5 (-105) u231.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lakers vs. Kings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Kings +8.5 -102
Moneyline Lakers -350
Total Under 231.5 -110

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +8.5 at the spread.

 

Lakers vs. Kings player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Monday's LA Lakers vs. Sacramento game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.

Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 33 points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists, while DeMar DeRozan is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Kings.

Luka Doncic 2026.
Luka Doncic is projected to score 33 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Lakers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Luka Doncic 33 8 9 3 63
LeBron James 24 6 7 2 46
Deandre Ayton 14 9 1 0 32
Jake LaRavia 11 5 2 2 26
Marcus Smart 10 3 3 2 25

Kings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
DeMar DeRozan 20 4 4 1 36
Zach LaVine 19 3 3 3 32
R. Westbrook 17 6 8 2 43
Malik Monk 12 3 3 2 24
Maxime Raynaud 11 7 1 0 24

Lakers vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Kings and Lakers at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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