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Lakers vs. Raptors prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [12/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Thursday.
NBA action continues on Thursday at 7:30PM ET as the Los Angeles Lakers square off with the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Raptors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley, while the Lakers will rely on Austin Reaves, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton.
Luka Doncic will miss the game though with the Slovenian star out for this one.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Lakers and Raptors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Raptors a 56% chance of beating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 114-113.
According to our model, the Lakers (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Lakers vs. Raptors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-108) | -2.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +116 | -135 |
| Total | o228.5 (-106) | u228.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Raptors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers +2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -135 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers +2.5 at the spread.
Lakers vs. Raptors player props
Betting on Lakers vs. Raptors NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Austin Reaves is expected to lead the Lakers with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves | 26 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 49 |
| LeBron James | 22 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 48 |
| Deandre Ayton | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
| Rui Hachimura | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
| Jake LaRavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 25 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 44 |
| Scottie Barnes | 23 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 50 |
| I. Quickley | 19 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 40 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| C. Murray-Boyles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Lakers vs. Raptors game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Raptors and Lakers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers on Thursday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Raptors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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