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Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction, odds, La Liga picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao predictions for La Liga Saturday.
RCD Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao will meet in La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Saturday, starting at 10:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model projects Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between RCD Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 27.6% chance of RCD Mallorca winning, a 45.0% chance for Athletic Bilbao, and a 27.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.
RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| RCD Mallorca | Athletic Bilbao | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +270 | +120 | +215 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +138 | -170 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca | +270 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +138 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Mallorca to win.
RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RCD 1-1 ATB | 12.9% |
| RCD 0-1 ATB | 12.9% |
| RCD 1-0 ATB | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.8% chance that both RCD Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao score, and a 53.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga game between RCD Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is scheduled to begin in the USA at 10:15 AM ET.
- Who: Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
- Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Conclusion
According to our computer model, RCD Mallorca has a 27.6% win probability on Saturday, Athletic Bilbao has a 45.0% win probability, and there is a 27.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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