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Richmond Tigers vs. Melbourne Demons prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 7 matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons predictions for AFL Friday.
The Richmond Tigers will face the favored Melbourne Demons in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Demons as the most likely winner of the Demons vs. Tigers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Demons prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Demons and Tigers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Demons an 86% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+38.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 185.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Melbourne vs. Richmond odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Demons | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -833 | +500 |
| Line (Spread) | -38.5 (-115) | +38.5 (-115) |
| Total | o185.5 (-115) | u185.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Demons vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +38.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +500 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +38.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Demons game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Tigers and Demons at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Demons vs. Richmond Tigers
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Demons, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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