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Read Article Marlins vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Monday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will square off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Monday, starting at 7:07 PM ET.
Trey Yesavage (2-1, 1.07 ERA) will get the ball for the Blue Jays, pitting him against Janson Junk (2-5, 5.07 ERA) for the Marlins.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Blue Jays as the most likely winner of the Marlins vs. Blue Jays game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Marlins and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 58% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays odds [5/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 (+140) |
| Moneyline | +129 | -152 |
| Total | o7.5 (+102) | u7.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Blue Jays -1.5 | +140 |
| Moneyline | Marlins | +129 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | +102 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Marlins at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:07 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 7:07 PM ET/4:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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