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Bucks vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for 30 points in Thursday's NBA game [1/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Thursday.
The San Antonio Spurs will square off with the Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Bucks will look to Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter and Ryan Rollins.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Bucks and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Spurs a 71% chance of beating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 115-109.
According to our model, the Bucks (+7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 225.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Bucks vs. Spurs odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -235 |
| Total | o225.5 (-106) | u225.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -235 |
| Total | Over 225.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
Bucks vs. Spurs player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Thursday's Bucks vs. Spurs game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to lead the Bucks with 30 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 23 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Antetokounmpo | 30 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 58 |
| Kevin Porter | 18 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 44 |
| Ryan Rollins | 17 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 37 |
| Bobby Portis | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| AJ Green | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 49 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 20 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 41 |
| Stephon Castle | 19 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 43 |
| Keldon Johnson | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| J. Champagnie | 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
Bucks vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Spurs and Bucks at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Thursday, with Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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