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Read Article Lynx vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Thursday's WNBA game [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Dallas Wings and Minnesota Lynx will lock horns in the WNBA at College Park Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Wings as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Wings game.
The Wings, with the likes of Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, will face off against the Lynx, whose lineup includes Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.
Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 17 points and 1 three.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Wings a 69% chance of beating the Lynx.
According to our model, the Wings (-3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 61% chance of staying under.
Lynx vs. Wings odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -166 |
| Total | o178.5 (-110) | u178.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Wings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wings -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wings | -166 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Wings player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Dallas WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Wings.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
| C. Williams | 17 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 41 |
| Olivia Miles | 15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
Wings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| Odyssey Sims | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| Alanna Smith | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Lynx vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Wings and Lynx at College Park Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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