Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Lynx vs. Sky play [5/29/2026]

Lynx vs. Sky under 172.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on under 172.5 points in Lynx vs. Sky at -102 odds. A 58.6% probability produces an edge of 8.1%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Mercury vs. Liberty under 170.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)

Mercury vs. Liberty under 170.5 points carries a 7.2% edge and a probability of 57.7% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Liberty ML (-199)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 72.9%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)

Liberty ML at -199 odds shows a 6.4% edge, supported by a 72.9% probability in simulations.

Sky +5.5 (-102)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)

A 6.3% edge and 56.8% probability make Sky +5.5 vs. Lynx at a value play in the Lynx vs. Sky matchup, per our model.

Dream ML (-344)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 83%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Dream ML at -344 odds presents a 5.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 83%.

Dream vs. Fire under 163.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on under 163.5 points in Dream vs. Fire at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 5.5%.

Mystics ML (-120)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mystics ML at -120 odds. A 59.8% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Dream -8.5 (-109)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

A 2.9% edge on a 55.1% probability makes Dream -8.5 at -109 odds a solid value play in today's Dream vs. Fire matchup.

Sky ML (+182)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 37.7%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Sky to win at +182 odds. A 37.7% probability produces a 2.3% edge, making Sky the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Sparks vs. Mystics under 165.5 points (+102)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Matchup: Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Sparks vs. Mystics under 165.5 points at +102 odds shows a 51.7% probability and a 2.2% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Friday, 5/29/2026

As of 12:09PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/29/2026]

• Lynx vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Mercury vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Sparks vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Dream vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 29, 2026, featuring plays such as under 172.5 points in the Lynx vs. Sky matchup and under 170.5 points in the Mercury vs. Liberty matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.