May 29, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Lynx vs. Sky play [5/29/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, May 29, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/29.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, May 29, 2026—are live with the Knicks' Dearica Hamby projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Hamby, Breanna Stewart and Kiki Iriafen lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 29, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 14.1% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 13.9% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 13.9% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.6% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 13.6% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.2% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 13.1% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 12.8% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.4% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 12.0% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 12.0% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 11.9% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 11.9% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 11.8% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 10.9% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 10.4% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 9.8% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.8% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 9.6% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 9.6% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.4% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 9.3% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.3% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 9.2% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 9.2% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.6% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 8.5% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 8.3% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 8.2% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 7.7% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.5% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 7.5% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 7.4% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.3% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 7.1% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 6.0% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 5.3% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 5.0% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 29, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 4.0% | +1100 | 12.4% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 2.2% | +1300 | 9.4% |
| Marine Johannes | Liberty | 2.1% | +1200 | 9.8% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.9% | +750 | 13.6% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 1.4% | +950 | 10.9% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 1.4% | +1300 | 8.5% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 0.7% | +1000 | 9.8% |
| Nia Coffey | Lynx | 0.6% | +1400 | 7.3% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 0.6% | +1200 | 8.3% |
| Erica Wheeler | Sparks | 0.5% | +1400 | 7.1% |
| Jacy Sheldon | Sky | 0.4% | +1300 | 7.5% |
| Natasha Howard | Lynx | 0.3% | +700 | 12.8% |
| Naz Hillmon | Dream | 0.2% | +1300 | 7.3% |
| Bridget Carleton | Fire | 0.1% | +750 | 11.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/29.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, May 29, 2026, Dearica Hamby, Breanna Stewart and Kiki Iriafen lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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