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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [4/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Playoffs Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 10:30 PM ET as the Minnesota Timberwolves square off with the Denver Nuggets in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Tim Hardaway, while the Timberwolves will be led by Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Timberwolves and Nuggets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Nuggets an 82% chance of defeating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 117-107.
According to our model, the Timberwolves (+11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 224.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-108) | -11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +410 | -500 |
| Total | o224.5 (-105) | u224.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves +11.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Timberwolves | +410 |
| Total | Over 224.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves +11.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props
Betting on Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Julius Randle is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 21 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 14 rebounds and 12 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 21 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Bones Hyland | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 30 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 74 |
| Jamal Murray | 29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 52 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Aaron Gordon | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Wolves vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Nuggets and Timberwolves in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Timberwolves and Nuggets, made the NBA Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Make the most of Dimers' Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Monday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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