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Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for 30 points in Friday's NBA game [3/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Friday.
The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Chase Center on Friday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski and Kristaps Porzingis, while the Timberwolves will rely on Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Timberwolves and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Timberwolves a 68% chance of beating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 114-109.
According to our model, the Warriors (+4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 224 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-115) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -200 | +170 |
| Total | o224 (-110) | u224 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors +4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Timberwolves | -200 |
| Total | Under 224 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Golden State NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 30 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while De'Anthony Melton is projected to have 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 30 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 49 |
| Julius Randle | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Naz Reid | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 29 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Melton | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| B. Podziemski | 15 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| K. Porzingis | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Gui Santos | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Al Horford | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
Wolves vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Warriors and Timberwolves at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Timberwolves, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Friday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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