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Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 26 points in Friday's NBA game [12/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 10:00PM ET as the Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Quinten Post, while the Timberwolves will look to Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels and Naz Reid.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Warriors a 66% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 116-111.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Timberwolves and Warriors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-105) | -4.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +172 | -190 |
| Total | o228.5 (-110) | u228.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves +4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -190 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors to win.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Golden State NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Julius Randle is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 26 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 23 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 46 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Naz Reid | 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| Rudy Gobert | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 45 |
| Jimmy Butler | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 40 |
| Quinten Post | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Buddy Hield | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| Moses Moody | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
Wolves vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Warriors and Timberwolves at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Friday, December 12, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Friday, with Julius Randle projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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