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Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [4/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Friday.
The Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves will lock horns in NBA action at Toyota Center on Friday, with tipoff at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Timberwolves will be led by Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu and Joan Beringer.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Rockets, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rockets a 76% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 117-109.
According to our model, the Timberwolves (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-108) | -9.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +385 | -485 |
| Total | o228.5 (-110) | u228.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves +9.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Timberwolves | +385 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Minnesota vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 21 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Joan Beringer | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| T. Shannon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 47 |
| Alperen Sengun | 19 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 46 |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 42 |
| Jabari Smith | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Wolves vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Rockets and Timberwolves at Toyota Center is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Friday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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