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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [12/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Thursday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will take on the favored Minnesota Timberwolves in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Thursday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Trey Murphy, Jeremiah Fears and Saddiq Bey, while the Timberwolves will look to Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Timberwolves an 80% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 121-111.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+12.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -12.5 (-102) | +12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -575 | +475 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +12.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +475 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +12.5 at the spread.
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on Thursday's Minnesota vs. New Orleans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 30 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 24 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 30 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 52 |
| Julius Randle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 43 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 33 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 24 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 44 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Saddiq Bey | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Derik Queen | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 35 |
| Jose Alvarado | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
Wolves vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Pelicans and Timberwolves at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Timberwolves, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Thursday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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