Timberwolves vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [3/15/2026]

NBA action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as the Minnesota Timberwolves lock horns with the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell, while the Timberwolves will be led by Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wolves vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 75% chance of defeating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-109.

According to our model, the Timberwolves (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Timberwolves	Thunder
Spread	+8.5 (+100)	-8.5 (-114)
Moneyline	+300	-375
Total	o227.5 (-115)	u227.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Timberwolves +8.5	+100
Moneyline	Timberwolves	+300
Total	Under 227.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves +8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder player props

Looking for Timberwolves vs. Thunder NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Timberwolves prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	28	6	4	3	48
Julius Randle	17	6	5	1	36
Jaden McDaniels	13	4	3	1	27
Naz Reid	13	6	2	2	29
Ayo Dosunmu	12	3	3	1	25

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	5	8	2	54
Chet Holmgren	17	9	2	1	37
Ajay Mitchell	14	3	4	1	28
Luguentz Dort	9	4	1	2	19
Cason Wallace	8	3	3	1	21

Wolves vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Thunder and Timberwolves at Paycom Center is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Sunday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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