Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Playoffs Monday.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA prediction for Game 1 of the series.
The San Antonio Spurs will square off with the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Frost Bank Center on Monday, commencing at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 1 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Timberwolves will look to Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win Game 1?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Timberwolves and Spurs, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Spurs a 78% chance of beating the Timberwolves in Game 1 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 113-104.
According to our model, the Timberwolves (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 218.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 1 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Timberwolves
Spurs
Spread
+9.5 (-105)
-9.5 (-115)
Moneyline
+330
-395
Total
o218.5 (-110)
u218.5 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs picks and best bet for Game 1
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves +9.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 1 player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. San Antonio NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 28 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 28 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Timberwolves and Spurs, made the NBA Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Monday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
