Twins vs. White Sox prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Monday.

Minnesota Twins-Chicago White Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB prediction for Monday, May 25, 2026.

The Chicago White Sox will take on the Minnesota Twins, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rate Field on Monday, commencing at 2:10 PM ET.

The White Sox will send Anthony Kay (3-1, 4.27 ERA) to the mound, while the Twins have opted for Zebby Matthews (1-1, 1.38 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Twins a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the White Sox.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's Twins vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.

Twins vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Twins and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Twins a 52% chance of defeating the White Sox.

According to our model, the White Sox (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Twins vs. White Sox odds [5/25/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins White Sox
Run Line -1.5 (+150) +1.5 (-182)
Moneyline -107 -106
Total o8.5 (-102) u8.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Twins vs. White Sox picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Twins -1.5 +150
Moneyline Twins -107
Total Over 8.5 -102

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Twins vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Twins at Rate Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Twins, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the White Sox in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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