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Twins vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [4/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Sunday.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET as the Minnesota Twins lock horns with the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field.
The Rays will start Griffin Jax (1-2, 8.00 ERA), up against Simeon Woods Richardson (0-3, 5.96 ERA) for the Twins.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Rays as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Rays game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Twins and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rays a 56% chance of defeating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Twins vs. Rays odds [4/26/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-168) | -1.5 (+140) |
| Moneyline | +128 | -145 |
| Total | o8.5 (-115) | u8.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Rays -1.5 | +140 |
| Moneyline | Twins | +128 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Rays and Twins at Tropicana Field is scheduled to start at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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