Jun 18, 2026
MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Twins vs. Rangers play [6/18/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Landen Roupp [6/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for June 18, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Landen Roupp, Jack Leiter and Noah Cameron.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Giants vs. Braves and Blue Jays vs. Red Sox, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Thursday, 6/18
Below are the top ten MLB player props for June 18, ranked by probability.
Landen Roupp under 5.5 strikeouts (-155)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 66.3%
- Game: Giants vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model has found value on San Francisco's Landen Roupp under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.3% gives this play an edge of 5.5% at -155 odds.
Jack Leiter under 5.5 strikeouts (-122)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Game: Twins vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)
Jack Leiter’s strikeouts prop shows a 63.7% probability and an 8.7% edge at -122 odds, according to our model.
Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts (-124)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.0% probability and a 7.6% edge at -124.
Martin Perez under 4.5 strikeouts (-130)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Game: Giants vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model finds value on Martin Perez under 4.5 strikeouts, with a 61.2% probability and an edge of 4.7% at -130 odds.
Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts (-134)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 60.6%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, showing an edge of 3.3% at -134 odds.
Marcelo Mayer to get a hit (-125)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)
Marcelo Mayer’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 3.2% at -125 odds, supported by a 58.8% probability according to our model.
Luisangel Acuna to get a hit (-119)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Game: White Sox vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Luisangel Acuna to get a hit for CHI White Sox, with a 56.5% probability and a 2.2% edge at -119 odds.
Derek Hill to get a hit (-101)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Game: Mets vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Derek Hill to get a hit, supported by a 56.5% probability at -101 odds and an edge of 6.2%.
Garrett Mitchell to get a hit (-110)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Game: Guardians vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)
A 3.1% edge on the to get a hit line makes Garrett Mitchell a value play in Guardians vs. Brewers, supported by a 55.5% probability at -110 odds.
Sonny Gray over 4.5 strikeouts (+102)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)
Simulations show value on Sonny Gray over 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 54.5% probability and 5.0% edge at +102 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, June 18, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:02AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Braves | Landen Roupp under 5.5 strikeouts | -155 @ DraftKings | 5.5% | 66.3% |
| Twins vs. Rangers | Jack Leiter under 5.5 strikeouts | -122 @ FanDuel | 8.7% | 63.7% |
| Cardinals vs. Royals | Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts | -124 @ DraftKings | 4.7% | 61.2% |
| Giants vs. Braves | Martin Perez under 4.5 strikeouts | -130 @ FanDuel | 4.7% | 61.2% |
| Cardinals vs. Royals | Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts | -134 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 60.6% |
| Blue Jays vs. Red Sox | Marcelo Mayer to get a hit | -125 @ FanDuel | 3.2% | 58.8% |
| White Sox vs. Yankees | Luisangel Acuna to get a hit | -119 @ DraftKings | 2.2% | 56.5% |
| Mets vs. Phillies | Derek Hill to get a hit | -101 @ DraftKings | 6.2% | 56.5% |
| Guardians vs. Brewers | Garrett Mitchell to get a hit | -110 @ FanDuel | 3.1% | 55.5% |
| Blue Jays vs. Red Sox | Sonny Gray over 4.5 strikeouts | +102 @ FanDuel | 5.0% | 54.5% |
Conclusion
For June 18, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Landen Roupp, Jack Leiter and Noah Cameron. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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