Free MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include two over/under plays [10/4/2025]

Today’s free MLB picks for October 4, 2025 are here, with Saturday’s MLB best bets fueled by thousands of data simulations analyzing the latest odds and matchups.

These MLB best bets include matchups like Dodgers vs. Phillies and Tigers vs. Mariners, with this article updated throughout the day to feature the highest-probability plays based on thousands of data-driven simulations from our predictive analytics model.

But if you're serious about long-term profit, it's not just about probability—it's about edge. To unlock our highest-edge MLB bets—the ones with true long-term value—join Dimers Pro.

Pro members get unlimited access to everything Dimers has to offer on Saturday, October 4, 2025, including our full suite of picks and best bets for today and the week ahead.

List of MLB best bets today [10/4, updated 6:31PM ET]

After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations, our independent predictive analytics model has identified the best baseball bets for Saturday, October 4, 2025.

Dodgers vs. Phillies over 7 runs (-112)

• Probability: 63.9%
• Edge: 11.0%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:38PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has pinpointed a high-probability MLB betting opportunity today, which comes in the Dodgers vs. Phillies game. We recommend an over/under bet on over 7 runs at -112 odds, with our analysis showing a 63.9% chance of hitting and a compelling edge of 11.0%.

Tigers vs. Mariners over 7 runs (-105)

• Probability: 63.8%
• Edge: 12.6%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Mariners (8:38PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has found another strong MLB playoffs bet for Saturday's baseball action, this time in the game between the Tigers and Mariners. We suggest placing an over/under wager on over 7 runs at -105 odds, with a 63.8% probability delivering a 12.6% edge.

MLB Playoffs best bets: Saturday, 10/4/2025

As of 6:31PM ET, here are our top two MLB bets by probability recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Probability	Edge
Dodgers vs. Phillies	Over 7 Runs	-112 @ DraftKings	63.9%	11.0%
Tigers vs. Mariners	Over 7 Runs	-105 @ BetMGM	63.8%	12.6%

Dimers Pro unlocks instant access to the most valuable bets across all sports, powered by our advanced predictive model.

Today, Dimers Pro subscribers have access to two MLB picks—with access to all of these being what makes a difference over time.

Join Dimers Pro now to access these picks, as well as a comprehensive range of props, trends and parlays for October 4, 2025.

List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [10/4/2025]

• Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:38PM ET, Saturday)
• Tigers vs. Mariners (8:38PM ET, Saturday)

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More on MLB

The bets on this page form part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.

For more MLB betting content, we have MLB trends for every game, as well as daily MLB betting news and the latest World Series odds and predictions.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for October 4, 2025, featuring plays such as over 7 runs in the Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup and over 7 runs in the Tigers vs. Mariners matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate MLB insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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